Hope you all are having a good weekend. Below we will be previewing the upcoming week and providing a Portfolio Update.
Format for what is covered in this weekly preview:
A look at the indices
Key upcoming economic events
Upcoming earnings reports
Charts
Notable portfolio changes from the previous week
Current Portfolio Holdings (Position size, cost basis, and commentary on each holding regarding the intended holding period and any planned activity)
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Indices
Dow Jones advanced 1.01% in the last week
S&P 500 advanced 0.72% in the last week
Nasdaq Composite advanced 0.7% in the last week
IWM advanced 1.67% in the last week
Key upcoming events:
Tuesday, October 7, 2025
U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services (August 2025)
Consumer Credit (August)
Speeches from Fed Officials are anticipated throughout the day (Bostic, Bowman, Kashkari, Miran).
Wednesday, October 8, 2025
FOMC Meeting Minutes - 2:00 PM ET. The key event of the week
Crude Oil Inventories
Thursday, October 9, 2025
Wholesale Trade: Sales and Inventories (August)
Jobless Claims
Friday, October 10, 2025
Preliminary U. of Michigan Consumer Sentiment (October)
Preliminary U. of Michigan Inflation Expectations (October)
Upcoming Earnings
Last week was a quiet week with no portfolio positions reporting. Likewise, no portfolio positions reporting this week.
Below is the infographic by Earnings Whispers for the upcoming week:
Charts
SPX
Sits currently at 6715.79, RSI 69.23, 3.37% above a rising 50SMA.
14.44% YTD
We had yet another week in which the S&P 500 made a new ATH (6750.87)
Distribution days in the last week: 0
COMPQ
Sits currently at 22780.51 RSI 67.79, 4.59% above a rising 50SMA.
18.15% YTD
Distribution days in the last week: 1 (although 3 in the last 10 days)
BTC (currently Long)
Currently $123178.6, 8.15% 50SMA and 16.5% above 200SMA.
30.4% YTD.
BTC held the 112k level support level and has been making ATH’s this weekend. Sign of things to come for the equity markets or is BTC merely reflecting the continued devaluation of the $? Staying long.
BABA (currently Long at $72 average)
Currently trades at $188.03 RSI 76.97 and 57.28% above 200SMA.
+125.08% YTD
BABA has traded up for 9 weeks now and is amidst a stage 2 breakout. For the last several weeks I have been stating that my BABA target was 175-180 and noted that “at this level would be ~17x 2027 earnings and a PEG of <1 still”
We have clearly surpassed those levels, and given that the RSI is over 82 on the weekly chart, some consolidation or backfill may be due before a possible move to 220 (Munger breakeven level!).
IREN (No position)
Currently trades at $50.46 RSI 76.50 and 246.26% (!) above 200SMA
382.41% YTD
IREN is a company that has pivoted from Bitcoin mining to hosting AI infrastructure recently. It has a market cap of ~14B now and is expected to do ~1.2B revenue (which has been revised up from ~700M at the start of the year). This is a company I am looking at but difficult to buy it 246% above above the SMA 200. Would like to see it consolidate and thus I am in a couple of other AI/HPC companies instead.
Now we will take a look at notable portfolio changes from the previous week and then Current Portfolio Holdings (Position size, cost basis, and commentary on each holding regarding the intended holding period and any planned activity)
Notable portfolio changes in previous week (all updated live in subscriber channels):
No exits but raised cash to around 14% level.
Current Positions in Size Order with Cost Basis (CB)